Alexey R. (ILI) - Filtering and anticipating future trends (mostly negative ones)

From my point of view, it is actually visible to the naked eye that, in general, things are getting worse rather than better year by year all over the world. The number of wars, cataclysms, and problems is increasing (this interview was recorded in 2007). A global crisis will definitely happen; even analysts say that oil is running out, and accordingly the modern economy itself is very unstable—any influence can trigger a collapse. The modern world is literally walking along a razor’s edge: one wrong move, and the world will start sliding downhill.

When in New York—I don’t remember what year—they cut off the electricity, there was a collapse there, and the entire city was plunged into darkness, terrible things were happening: looting, murders, and so on. The layer of civilization on the modern human being is very thin, and a very small push is enough for the planet to slide into crisis—you won’t be able to stop it.

The situation is very unstable. Global phenomena—broad strokes—are easy to trace. Smaller details are harder to figure out.